Matt Hougan (CIO of Bitwise) recently shared with us five fascinating predictions for 2019. next In 2028, the Bitcoin (BTC), network is scheduled to be reduced by half. Hougan highlights the possible transformations of the world’s most popular cryptocurrency.
The Catalyst: New Investors and ETFs
Hougan is one of the key players in Hougan predictions Bitcoin volatility is expected to drop by half. He believes that Bitcoin’s volatility will decline by 50% due to the entry of more investors via the Bitcoin spot. exchange-traded fund This decline will be driven by the ETF market.
Hougan stated that this as financial advisors, family offices, and institutions enter the Bitcoin market, their different investment behaviors – such as portfolio rebalancing and steady drip investments – could introduce counter-cyclical flows, ultimately dampening Bitcoin’s volatility.
Hougan’s next prediction is about the allocation Bitcoins in portfolios. Hougan believes that portfolios will increasingly allocate 5% to Bitcoin. BTC has been steadily increasing in value. volatility Hougan predicts that portfolio allocations will increase as the price of gold decreases, and it becomes more appealing to institutional investors.
Bitwise CIO believes that Bitcoin ETFs are going to attract more than $200 billion. Their impressive growth is highlighted, and they are cited as being the fastest-growing of all new ETFs. ETF category All time.
Hougan believes that ETFs are still at an early stage, as national wirehouses have just begun their due diligence. Hougan draws parallels between the gold ETFs that have experienced year after year growth in net flow, and Bitcoin ETFs.
Bitcoin Price Path Toward $250,000
Hougan makes an interesting prediction that central banks may allocate money to Bitcoins before they reach the desired level. next Event halving. He says that in the past, central banks had been major investors of gold and had accumulated large amounts.
Bitcoin is a non-debt currency. functional advantages Hougan is convinced that central banks are increasingly going to be drawn towards Bitcoin as a payment and settlement method over gold. Hougan added to this:
Here, there is also a game-theory element. The adoption of Bitcoin by a large central bank as a currency reserve would have a significant impact on Bitcoin’s price and would, in my opinion, be the beginning of a new era for Bitcoin. Will one central banks try to outdo the other?
Hougan’s last prediction is centered around Bitcoin’s value. Hougan predicts Bitcoin’s price will rise to $250,000 in 2028. This is a nearly 280% increase from the current level.
Bitwise CIO attributes Bitcoin’s past exponential growth to it transitioning from a speculation asset to an actual utility.
Factors such as declining volatility, improved custody optionsHougan, who is very optimistic regarding Bitcoin, attributes his optimism to the low correlations between Bitcoin and traditional stock markets, as well as to ETFs’ increased accessibility, along with growing adoption by institutions. Hougan ended by saying:
With the ETFs launched and gathering assets—and major Wall Street firms lining up behind bitcoin—I suspect the asset will continue to move further into the mainstream. Bitcoin would have a value of $5 trillion at $250,000. It could go even higher. Of course. However, I do think that we will at least see $250,000 as a significant improvement.
BTC, currently trading at $64,500 is down almost 3% over the last 24 hours. It retested the $67,000 level on Tuesday but failed to consolidate higher than that.
Charts from TradingView.com and Shutterstock.
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